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Red0
996-1.3
31330.6
12122.4
Blue33
10117.5
28442.9
37852.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214102030405060033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#41
2.40.3
3.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1011
#11
7.51.8
7.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3133
#36
0.60.3
1.00.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2844
#24
2.91.8
2.34.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
996
#30
-1.30.3
-0.9-1.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3785
#15
2.81.8
1.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End