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Qual 502011 Arizona Regional
Red18
30194.7
26578.3
31330.6
Blue6
21343.5
24865.9
18284.7
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179030405060186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2657
#8
8.30.2
8.6→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
2486
#14
5.90.3
3.8→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3019
#22
4.70.2
6.6→6.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Level
1828
#39
4.70.3
4.3→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3133
#36
0.60.2
0.7→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.9
2134
#31
3.50.3
1.7→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—