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Qual 532011 Arizona Regional
Red23
10117.5
84221.7
6014.0
Blue9
31703.8
33034.1
23750.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43370206080100239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#1
21.71.5
17.8→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.4
330
#2
34.12.2
32.1→29.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
60
#3
14.01.5
14.5→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.2
3170
#21
3.82.4
3.1→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1011
#11
7.51.6
9.4→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.0
2375
#23
0.42.4
2.5→0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—