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Qual 582011 Arizona Regional
Red4
996-1.3
172613.3
11654.0
Blue2
23750.4
18284.7
10132.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1360102030405042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1726
#9
13.30.6
8.8→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.6
1828
#39
4.70.4
4.0→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1165
#18
4.00.6
3.7→3.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
1013
#37
2.60.4
3.2→2.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
996
#30
-1.30.6
-0.8→-1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.8
2375
#23
0.40.4
0.1→-0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—