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Qual 92011 Arizona Regional
Red18
31703.8
24498.9
21343.5
Blue1
4987.3
10132.6
996-1.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011020304050181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2449
#5
8.90.6
4.6→5.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
498
#7
7.30.8
4.0→3.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3170
#21
3.80.6
2.9→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
1013
#37
2.60.8
4.6→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2134
#31
3.50.6
3.5→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
996
#30
-1.30.8
1.8→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—