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Red6
11482.4
119721.6
29198.9
Blue2
7026.4
25843.5
8673.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14160102030405062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.7
9.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
702
#18
6.40.7
6.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2919
#10
8.90.7
1.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
2584
#44
3.51.1
5.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1148
#54
2.40.7
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
867
#57
3.21.1
3.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End