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Red9
35214.0
33285.8
15155.9
Blue38
249612.0
263721.5
30273.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1225020406080100938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#61
5.90.4
8.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
2637
#21
21.51.2
9.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3328
#45
5.80.4
3.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
12.01.2
11.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3521
#51
4.00.4
2.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3027
#25
3.61.2
2.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End