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Red0
37526.1
20717.0
10470.9
Blue33
23399.9
25763.3
26597.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171601030405060033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#17
17.01.4
10.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2339
#41
9.90.8
5.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3752
#36
6.11.4
1.2-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2659
#32
7.51.3
7.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1047
#55
0.91.4
4.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2576
#24
3.31.3
4.05.4
Auto
Teleop
End