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Red15
14382.6
327112.0
38515.6
Blue18
227211.9
69610.4
30273.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232704060801001518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3271
#49
12.00.7
12.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2272
#14
11.90.7
11.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3851
#20
5.60.7
9.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
696
#12
10.40.7
10.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1438
#52
2.60.7
1.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3027
#25
3.60.7
5.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End