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Red12
6918.9
39925.2
8486.4
Blue2
5978.4
25843.5
33285.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49170406080100120122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#11
25.21.6
23.121.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
597
#23
8.41.0
9.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
691
#28
8.92.3
10.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3328
#45
5.81.4
6.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
848
#13
6.42.5
10.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2584
#44
3.51.4
5.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End