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Red3
10470.9
8486.4
11482.4
Blue23
263721.5
38515.6
18364.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7420206080100323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
848
#13
6.40.7
7.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
2637
#21
21.51.0
22.521.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1148
#54
2.40.7
3.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
3851
#20
5.61.1
8.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1047
#55
0.90.7
1.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1836
#38
4.61.0
5.64.6
Auto
Teleop
End