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Red1
26433.6
6926.1
2569.9
Blue47
25515.5
97133.1
11513.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266104080100120140160147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
256
Unranked
9.91.5
15.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.2
971
Unranked
33.10.4
35.735.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
692
Unranked
6.11.5
9.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
115
Unranked
13.50.4
14.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2643
Unranked
3.61.5
7.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2551
Unranked
5.50.4
5.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End