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Qual 162011 CalGames
Red41
207311.9
8418.0
60413.4
Blue24
3013-1.1
10723.6
6498.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35602060801001204124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
Unranked
13.40.5
12.9→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
649
Unranked
8.10.7
7.4→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2073
Unranked
11.90.5
10.7→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.3
1072
Unranked
3.60.7
5.1→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
841
Unranked
8.00.5
7.1→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.0
3013
Unranked
-1.10.7
-1.6→-1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—