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Red9
2569.9
67011.0
11513.5
Blue25
207311.9
1007.7
6751.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4615020406080100120925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
13.51.6
13.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2073
Unranked
11.90.3
11.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
670
Unranked
11.01.6
14.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
100
Unranked
7.70.3
6.26.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
256
Unranked
9.91.6
13.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
675
Unranked
1.00.3
2.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End