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Qual 312011 CalGames
Red21
11410.6
11513.5
7669.2
Blue6
325612.5
30451.9
28136.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361906080100120216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
13.50.6
11.8→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
3256
Unranked
12.50.8
13.1→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
114
Unranked
10.60.6
12.3→11.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.9
2813
Unranked
6.60.8
7.5→6.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
766
Unranked
9.20.6
9.5→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.3
3045
Unranked
1.90.8
1.1→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—