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Red6
5813.4
60413.4
11410.6
Blue60
84625.8
132329.6
34823.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3868050100150200250660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
Unranked
13.41.8
16.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
1323
Unranked
29.60.2
30.530.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
Unranked
10.61.8
17.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
846
Unranked
25.80.2
26.526.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
581
Unranked
3.41.8
8.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3482
Unranked
3.90.2
6.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End