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Red136
11155.0
25450.4
97331.6
Blue91
201635.8
17736.6
78142.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14211105020025013691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#22
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
781
#1
42.20.4
42.642.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
254
#18
50.40.0
50.450.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
177
#24
36.60.4
37.036.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
973
#11
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
35.80.4
36.235.8
Auto
Teleop
End