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Quarterfinal 4-22011 Colorado Regional
Red21
36481.4
161921.4
20368.4
Blue0
1595.7
20831.6
340310.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361606080210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#4
21.40.2
21.9→21.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.7
3403
#13
10.70.5
11.2→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2036
#5
8.40.3
8.9→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
159
#8
5.70.4
6.1→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3648
#16
1.40.3
1.9→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
2083
#44
1.60.4
2.1→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—