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Qual 162011 Colorado Regional
Red5
235216.5
17994.1
36481.4
Blue0
15832.3
13615.3
12450.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2390304050607050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#20
16.50.9
18.4→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.2
1361
#32
5.31.0
3.3→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1799
#29
4.11.3
0.9→-0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
1583
#33
2.31.0
7.2→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3648
#16
1.41.3
1.8→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1245
#40
0.61.0
1.1→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—