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Red18
4433.8
115817.7
14108.2
Blue0
22593.4
32003.4
4991.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26401020304050607080180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1158
#17
17.70.2
14.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
2259
#34
3.40.7
3.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1410
#14
8.20.4
4.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
3200
#19
3.40.7
3.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
443
#11
3.80.4
3.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
499
#45
1.00.5
1.00.5
Auto
Teleop
End