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Red5
32003.4
13485.2
20368.4
Blue3
299618.0
22400.9
16911.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1726040608010053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.41.1
9.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
2996
#10
18.01.1
13.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5.21.1
5.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1691
#35
1.91.8
4.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3200
#19
3.41.1
2.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2240
#26
0.91.8
6.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End