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Red30
17994.1
151517.4
115817.7
Blue31
66213.4
22756.8
32003.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3020010405060703031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1158
#17
17.70.1
15.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
662
#2
13.40.5
13.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.40.1
11.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
2275
#31
6.80.8
8.18.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1799
#29
4.10.1
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3200
#19
3.40.8
0.81.5
Auto
Teleop
End