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Red30
14108.2
19773.0
15832.3
Blue0
22400.9
33549.1
28594.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1212020304050300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#14
8.21.6
3.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3354
#38
9.11.1
5.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1977
#15
3.01.6
2.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2859
#37
4.11.1
3.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1583
#33
2.31.6
4.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2240
#26
0.91.1
4.33.2
Auto
Teleop
End