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Qual 622011 Colorado Regional
Red1
20831.6
22593.4
15832.3
Blue12
33151.8
20368.4
36433.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12170406080112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2259
#34
3.40.9
5.7→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.0
2036
#5
8.40.3
9.5→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1583
#33
2.30.9
4.8→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.2
3643
#18
3.60.3
3.9→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2083
#44
1.60.9
2.1→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
3315
#43
1.80.3
2.4→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—