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Red0
22593.4
13615.3
1595.7
Blue15
36481.4
35105.3
115712.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2020010304050015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#8
5.71.3
7.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1157
#24
12.30.4
12.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1361
#32
5.31.4
6.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3510
#25
5.30.4
5.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2259
#34
3.41.4
4.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3648
#16
1.40.4
1.91.5
Auto
Teleop
End