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Semifinal 2-22011 Colorado Regional
Red0
13485.2
235216.5
13394.3
Blue18
36481.4
20368.4
161921.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2734020406080100018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#20
16.50.5
17.0→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.9
1619
#4
21.40.3
22.1→21.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1348
#9
5.20.7
5.9→5.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
2036
#5
8.40.3
9.1→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1339
#22
4.30.6
4.9→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.9
3648
#16
1.40.3
2.1→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—