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Red3
71418.4
157-5.3
32041.7
Blue54
206721.7
169916.6
34615.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2125050100150200250354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
714
#27
18.41.2
14.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2067
#12
21.71.5
9.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3204
#56
1.71.4
2.00.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
1699
#18
16.62.0
10.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
157
#58
-5.31.6
5.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
3461
#20
5.42.5
4.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End