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Red72
102721.4
169916.6
23025.6
Blue63
74319.8
346410.2
107121.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5921040801001207263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
25.60.9
21.522.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
21.43.0
10.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1027
#16
21.41.0
19.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
743
#22
19.82.6
9.412.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1699
#18
16.61.1
12.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
3464
#47
10.23.0
6.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End