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Red62
18114.5
31821.1
312527.0
Blue78
206721.7
35552.2
17529.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264102060806278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3125
#26
27.01.7
22.724.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
175
#7
29.81.9
22.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
181
#23
14.51.7
6.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
2067
#12
21.71.9
11.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3182
#55
1.12.8
-0.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3555
#48
2.23.2
5.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End