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Red76
5337.8
57120.0
312527.0
Blue6
169916.6
31821.1
31049.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50200406080100766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3125
#26
27.01.5
24.425.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1699
#18
16.60.9
14.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
571
#37
20.01.5
15.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
3104
#40
9.91.5
7.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
533
#21
7.81.5
5.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
3182
#55
1.11.5
2.40.9
Auto
Teleop
End