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Red107
17529.8
17736.7
107318.9
Blue58
6928.5
23025.6
102721.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9174406010012014016010758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
36.70.3
37.838.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
69
#2
28.50.3
28.828.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
175
#7
29.80.3
30.831.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
230
#5
25.60.3
25.925.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1073
#30
18.90.3
20.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1027
#16
21.40.3
21.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End