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Quarterfinal 2-22011 Curie Division
Red119
36437.9
36537.1
198641.4
Blue123
98754.9
5137.5
96834.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313650100150200250119123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#21
41.40.0
41.4→41.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.5
987
#5
54.90.2
56.6→56.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
364
#4
37.90.0
37.9→37.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
51
#49
37.50.2
39.2→39.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
365
#17
37.10.0
37.0→37.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.3
968
#45
34.80.2
36.4→36.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—