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Red106
198641.4
16617.2
24542.0
Blue123
198337.3
98754.9
155934.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93133050150200250106123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#23
42.00.4
39.639.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
987
#5
54.90.2
55.455.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1986
#21
41.40.4
42.142.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
37.30.2
39.839.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
166
#55
17.20.4
17.417.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.6
1559
#42
34.80.2
31.731.5
Auto
Teleop
End