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Red106
363014.4
167838.5
12625.2
Blue89
2020.1
247132.0
157423.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7271405060809010011010689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#20
38.51.7
37.339.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2471
#34
32.00.9
30.631.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
126
#67
25.21.7
24.826.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1574
#50
23.50.9
22.423.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3630
#54
14.41.7
9.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
20
#57
20.10.9
18.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End