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Red40
204012.3
378414.7
313020.6
Blue92
13530.7
33513.6
192337.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418401001502004092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#58
20.60.4
20.520.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
1923
#40
37.40.7
36.637.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3784
#70
14.70.4
14.313.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
135
#11
30.70.7
27.828.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2040
#73
12.30.4
13.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
335
#19
13.60.7
13.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End