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Red100
355311.9
22836.8
5137.5
Blue55
174120.8
313020.6
17395.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5244020608010012014010055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#49
37.52.5
37.139.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
1741
#43
20.80.5
20.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3553
#38
11.92.5
9.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
3130
#58
20.60.5
20.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2283
#71
6.82.5
4.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1739
#83
5.30.5
4.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End