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Red75
34777.7
36537.1
24617.3
Blue90
316010.9
192337.4
162540.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539701502007590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#17
37.10.8
36.437.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
1625
#29
40.70.0
42.042.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
246
#22
17.30.8
16.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.1
1923
#40
37.40.0
37.437.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3477
#78
7.70.8
6.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
3160
#66
10.90.0
11.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End