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Red56
282640.3
37398.6
189112.9
Blue83
30375.3
7151.1
379912.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63680501001502002505683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#10
40.30.4
41.441.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
71
#3
51.10.8
51.151.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1891
#33
12.90.4
13.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3799
#48
12.40.8
11.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3739
#75
8.60.4
8.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3037
#39
5.30.8
4.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End