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Red111
36831.4
167838.5
6014.5
Blue45
237725.2
270223.7
217721.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8052010015011145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#20
38.52.1
32.234.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
2377
#15
25.20.6
14.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
368
#36
31.42.1
32.935.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
2702
#41
23.70.6
25.324.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
60
#35
14.51.8
10.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
2177
#44
21.70.6
17.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End