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Red102
18039.6
299624.1
363014.4
Blue54
378414.7
1203.3
36831.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6955010015020010254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#13
39.61.8
37.739.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
368
#36
31.40.1
35.935.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
24.11.8
18.019.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
3784
#70
14.70.2
16.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3630
#54
14.42.0
11.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
120
#76
3.30.2
4.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End