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Red50
317210.4
57340.3
37512.8
Blue78
12220.3
34777.7
236340.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566901001505078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#25
40.30.4
40.840.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2363
#28
40.80.6
41.542.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
375
#79
12.80.4
8.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
122
#16
20.30.6
18.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3172
#86
10.40.5
9.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3477
#78
7.70.6
7.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End