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Red105
5137.5
12625.2
13530.7
Blue134
98754.9
40111.2
36537.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7795050150200105134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#49
37.51.3
33.134.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
987
#5
54.92.1
52.354.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
135
#11
30.71.3
24.826.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
365
#17
37.12.1
36.538.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
126
#67
25.21.3
21.923.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
401
#68
11.22.8
3.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End