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Red56
235912.8
151935.5
162613.9
Blue99
167838.5
299624.1
12220.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63770501001502005699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#24
35.50.4
36.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1678
#20
38.51.2
34.435.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1626
#77
13.90.4
18.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
24.11.2
21.422.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2359
#47
12.80.4
10.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
122
#16
20.31.2
18.820.0
Auto
Teleop
End