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Red104
236340.8
36245.9
68723.1
Blue43
31588.7
24617.3
313020.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694005010015020010443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#28
40.82.0
43.345.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.2
3130
#58
20.60.1
21.521.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
687
#59
23.12.0
19.621.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
246
#22
17.30.1
15.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3624
#65
5.92.0
1.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3158
#72
8.70.1
7.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End