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Red0
38575.5
27351.1
3409-0.5
Blue1
33920.5
37611.0
34134.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21840608010001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3857
#50
5.50.4
2.72.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3413
#20
4.71.2
10.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2735
#39
1.10.4
1.30.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3761
#41
1.01.2
1.2-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3409
#48
-0.50.4
0.70.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3392
#17
0.51.2
4.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End