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Red0
36761.2
4372.7
38191.4
Blue51
35297.9
129620.3
28643.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629020406080100051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
437
#32
2.70.8
4.33.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.6
20.31.3
13.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3819
#40
1.41.0
1.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
3529
#23
7.92.0
5.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3676
#44
1.20.8
1.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2864
#16
3.82.2
5.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End