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Red3
36973.1
35297.9
17456.0
Blue54
33692.2
33108.8
181715.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222101030405060354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3529
#23
7.91.2
10.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
15.51.6
9.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1745
#24
6.01.5
7.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
8.82.6
9.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3697
#18
3.11.5
3.92.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3369
#13
2.22.6
3.66.2
Auto
Teleop
End