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Quarterfinal 4-32011 Washington DC Regional
Red103
201634.8
17088.9
6331.1
Blue91
94520.3
207718.8
19027.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7763204010012014016010391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#3
34.80.5
35.0→35.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.6
190
#20
27.20.4
26.7→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
63
#4
31.10.5
31.3→31.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.9
945
#26
20.30.4
19.8→20.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1708
#22
8.90.5
8.7→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.9
2077
#9
18.80.4
18.3→18.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—