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Red60
29116.8
151120.5
35583.7
Blue38
108616.0
35048.4
28495.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242904060806038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#16
20.51.8
18.720.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1086
#47
16.00.7
15.316.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2911
#35
6.82.4
4.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3504
#30
8.40.5
7.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3558
#56
3.72.4
1.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2849
#51
5.50.5
5.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End