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Red0
345511.6
28495.5
19152.1
Blue33
159816.5
29318.4
18490.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8220304050607080033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3455
#21
11.69.3
11.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
293
#12
18.40.9
10.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2849
#51
5.50.7
4.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
1598
#29
16.51.1
6.17.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1915
#49
2.10.8
2.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1849
#61
0.61.1
3.14.2
Auto
Teleop
End